2020 Vision for the Web
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Written by Richard D S Hill on November 7, 2009 – 11:30 pm
The growth of the web since 2000 has been massive and in the ‘new’ economies - China, Brazil, Russia, India, Eastern Europe that is likely to continue apace. It’s not until penetration reaches that of the phone that the market will mature. That’s lots of growth.
Given this likely growth what will the web look like in 2020?
Well, there are two sides to that coin - the way the technology works and then the ways we use it and, of course, forecast vision is less likely to be accurate than optical.
Technology
According to technology expert and entrepreneur Nova Spivack, the development of the web moves in 10 year cycles.
In the first decade, most of the development focused on the back end. In the second decade, focus shifted to the front end and the era social media, mash-ups and experiments to make the web more interactive. The next cycle will shift focus to the back end again. Then by 2020 focus will return to the front end and we’ll see thousands of new ways to use the web.
Some of the predictions for the next 10 years are the:
- ‘ever present’ web will merge with all other forms of entertainment and everything will be delivered via the web. Everything (phones, fridges, the lot) will connect to the net and you will have a constant connection to the web at work, at home, driving, in the pub or restaurant, in fact wherever you are.
- semantic web and artificial intelligence where all information is categorized and stored in such a way that a computer can understand it as well as a human. The web will capable of analyzing data and extrapolating new ideas for you. In fact people already feel that, as one of our readers, Tony Cox, wrote after one of our recent articles: “The Internet is evolving like a primitive brain building neural connections to integrate the myriad of input signals for evaluation, selective storage
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